Just like that, the Tony Race is over. We are pleased to announce that our predictions were the most accurate of any theater publication! We missed only two categories – Best Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical (which went to Ruthie Ann Miles over Sydney Lucas) and Best Costume Design of a Play (which went to Wolf Hall over The Audience). These results come after closely tracking the nominees over the last 6 weeks as they vied for their chance to go home with the hardware.
Below, we review the Tony predictions of theater experts from the biggest publications in the industry, and ranked them according to how well they did. Not all of these experts published predictions for all 24 categories. To accommodate for this, our rankings are weighted by the total number of categories each expert made predictions for.
#1 | Oliver Roth | 22/24 92% |
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#2 | Ken Davenport | 20/24 83% |
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#3 | Ronnie Reich (NJ.com) |
19/24 79% |
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#4 | Michael Dale (BroadwayWorld) | 18/24 75% |
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#5 | Broadway.com Editors | 17/24 71% |
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Jeremy Gerard (Deadline) | 17/24 71% |
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Adam Feldman & David Cote (Time Out) |
17/24 71% |
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#8 | Marc Snetiker (Entertainment Weekly) |
16/24 67% |
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Jesse Green (Vulture) |
16/24 67% |
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#10 | Elysa Gardner (USA Today) |
14/17 82% |
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#11 | Jason Clark (Entertainment Weekly) |
14/24 58% |
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#12 | Gordon Cox (Variety) |
11/13 85% |
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#13 | David Rooney & Scott Feinberg (The Hollywood Reporter) |
11/17 64% |
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#14 | Linda Winer (Newsday) |
11/21 52% |
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#15 | Ben Brantley (New York Times) |
9/16 56% |
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#16 | Charles Isherwood (New York Times) |
8/16 50% |
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#17 | New York Times Tony Voter Survey | 7/8 88% |
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Roma Torre (NY1) |
7/8 88% |
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#19 | Michael Reidel (New York Post) |
7/10 70% |
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#20 | Mark Kennedy (The Associated Press) |
5/8 63% |
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#21 | Lee Seymour (Forbes) |
4/8 50% |
1 comment
Join the conversationIan Y - July 14, 2015
Thanks for putting this together! I was tracking it on my own, but you caught some rankings I didn’t even see. Looking forward to seeing your predictions next year…and congrats on taking the top spot!